September, Friday 20, 2024

Can the proposed agreement on border and Ukraine by the US Senate actually be enacted into law?


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A bipartisan deal has been unveiled by US senators to address illegal immigration at the US-Mexico border, with the added provision of aid to Ukraine and Israel. The bill is set to be voted on in the Democratic-led chamber this week, but is expected to fail in the Republican-led House of Representatives. President Joe Biden has given his endorsement to the deal, stating that it represents the toughest and fairest border reforms in decades. The record-breaking influx of over 6.3 million migrants entering the US illegally has become a major issue for Biden as he seeks re-election. Immigration has also emerged as a top concern for Republicans supporting former President Donald Trump. In response to public anger over the migrant inflows, Biden promised in January to take action if Congress sent a bill to his desk. The deal, valued at nearly $120 billion, includes provisions for border security and aid to Ukraine and Israel. However, several Republicans have already announced their opposition to the bill, influenced by Trump's pressure. The lack of a lasting agreement could leave Biden vulnerable to criticism regarding his handling of border security and may be seen as Trump blocking much-needed reforms for electoral gain. The statistics from the Department of Homeland Security indicate that over 6.3 million migrants have been detained crossing into the US between points of entry since Biden took office. Of these, around 2.4 million have been allowed into the country, where they await immigration court dates to make a case for asylum. Monthly figures for migrant encounters reached a record-breaking high of over 302,000 in December. A poll conducted in January revealed that nearly half of Americans considered the border situation a crisis, with 63% believing the administration should implement tougher policies. Furthermore, 68% disapproved of Biden's handling of the issue. The deal brokered by Republican Senator James Lankford and his Democratic and independent colleagues includes significant changes such as a federal authority that mandates a complete border shutdown if crossings exceed 5,000 in a week. This would mean that migrants arriving illegally in the US would no longer be able to request asylum and would be quickly deported, a significant departure from current practices under US law. The bill also includes measures such as fast-tracked asylum decisions, limits on humanitarian parole, expanded authority for removing migrants, stricter consequences for illegal crossings, and funding for border wall construction. Adam Isacson, a migration and border expert, stated that these reforms would have been unthinkable in US politics until recently, reflecting a shift in the political environment. If passed, this compromise would mark the first substantial overhaul of US immigration law since 1990. Biden has expressed support for the deal, stating it would give him new emergency authority to shut down the border when overwhelmed. However, the opposition from House Republicans makes it unlikely for the bill to become law. House Speaker Mike Johnson has labeled the bill "dead on arrival" and suggested that Biden should use existing laws or executive action to secure the border. Democrats accuse Johnson and others of succumbing to pressure from Trump, who has urged his Republican allies to reject the bill. Trump's influence has cast a shadow over the negotiations, leaving the Biden administration with limited options. Experts argue that without new funding and tools, the status quo will remain, which aligns with the strategy of the Trump campaign, seeking to exploit chaos during the campaign.