-
-
-
Loading
Loading
The 2024 election is shaping up to be a re-run of 2020, but with the roles reversed. Donald Trump is expected to challenge President Joe Biden, and there is a sense of frustration among voters who feel like they have the same choice to make in a familiar pattern. However, history has shown that anything can happen in a year to upend the race. Third-party candidates have had an impact on past elections and could do the same in 2024. Ross Perot, a wealthy businessman, won 19% of the votes in 1992 and is often credited with costing the Republicans a victory. In 2000, Ralph Nader, a Green Party candidate, won votes in Florida, which helped tip the swing state to George W. Bush. Some believe that independent candidates in the upcoming election could shake things up, especially given the low approval ratings of both Biden and Trump. Two independent candidates, Cornel West and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., have already entered the race. Kennedy, who recently left the Democrats, has the potential to appeal to conspiracy-minded voters and could take votes away from Trump. This election is expected to be close, so even a few votes to a third-party candidate could make a significant difference. There is also speculation about what would happen if something were to happen to Biden or Trump before the election. If either were to fall seriously ill or die between now and New Year's Day 2023, there are many on both sides willing to compete for the nomination. However, if the worst were to happen closer to the election, their names would still be on the ballot, and according to the Constitution, a candidate can run even if they are dead. President Biden is facing international crises, such as Russia's invasion of Ukraine and Israel's offensive against Hamas, which could impact his re-election campaign. His team has tried to portray him as a reliable commander in chief, but there are already signs of a drop in support from young Democratic voters who are critical of Biden's support for Israel. The outcome of these international conflicts could significantly affect the election. Former President Trump is facing 91 criminal charges in four separate trials set to take place next year. While the maximum potential sentences are severe, it is unlikely that he would receive such long sentences if convicted. Trump's lawyers have been unsuccessful in their attempts to delay the trials until after the election. However, even if he were to go to prison before the election, there is nothing preventing him from running and potentially winning. The 2024 election is full of uncertainties and unprecedented situations. It remains to be seen how third-party candidates, international conflicts, and legal issues will shape the outcome. With the race expected to be tight, any unexpected developments could have a significant impact.