Potential consequences for the Ukraine conflict will be evident if there is a cessation of US assistance.

The article discusses the importance of US military support for Ukraine and the potential consequences if that support is not provided. President Volodymyr Zelensky is seeking Congress's approval for a $60 billion aid package, but it has been delayed due to a dispute over US border security. Ukraine's first lady, Olena Zelenska, has warned that the country is in mortal danger without ongoing American support. While European countries are increasing their economic support to Ukraine, the US has provided the majority of military aid. However, there are concerns about the stability of US support, especially because it is a presidential election year. The Kiel Institute reports that the US has donated €44 billion worth of military equipment, while Germany, the largest European donor, has contributed €18 billion. Experts argue that Europe cannot compensate for the support previously provided by the US. Russia, on the other hand, has prioritized its defense spending and increased its production of military equipment, including drones, missiles, and artillery shells. Western officials estimate that almost 40% of Russia's government spending next year will be on defense and security. In contrast, most NATO members in Europe still do not meet the target of spending 2% of their GDP on defense. The article also highlights the challenges that Ukraine faces in receiving aid. Pledges of new aid to Ukraine have decreased between August and October this year, and some nations are struggling to match their previous military donations. Slovakia has withdrawn its support completely, and there are uncertainties about the future support from the Netherlands. This reduction in aid could have long-term consequences for Ukraine's ability to sustain its war effort. The lack of clarity regarding US military support has already affected Ukraine's ability to plan and generate further Western support. It is also expected that Russia will increase its targeting of key infrastructure in Ukraine in the coming weeks. Without essential US support, Ukraine's forces may weaken, compromising its air defense capabilities.